Notts County v Blackpool
18+EFL League One · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Notts County win
- 46%
- Draw
- 23%
- Blackpool win
- 31%
FootyGrounds prediction
Notts County to win
Model probability 46%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score49 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Notts County strength rating 1505 v Blackpool 1505
- Blackpool away form: 1W 0D 2L, 4 scored / 6 conceded
- Notts County unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 46%, goals 44%, recent form 50%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model44%
- Recent-form model50%
Component disagreement: 5.3 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 46% (calculated 09/09/2026, 20:20:06), now 46%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 09/09/2026, 22:20:04. Read the methodology.