Deportivo de A Coruña v Sevilla FC
18+La Liga · Wed 16 Sept, 17:00
Data: excellent
- Deportivo de A Coruña win
- 45%
- Draw
- 24%
- Sevilla FC win
- 30%
FootyGrounds prediction
Deportivo de A Coruña to win
Model probability 45%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Deportivo de A Coruña strength rating 1635 v Sevilla FC 1629
- Superior goal difference: Deportivo de A Coruña +3 v Sevilla FC +2
- Deportivo de A Coruña unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 47%, goals 47%, recent form 38%)
Main uncertainty: Sevilla FC are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model47%
- Goals model47%
- Recent-form model38%
Component disagreement: 9.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 45% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 45%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.