Tranmere Rovers v Colchester United
18+EFL League Two · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Tranmere Rovers win
- 51%
- Draw
- 23%
- Colchester United win
- 26%
FootyGrounds prediction
Tranmere Rovers to win
Model probability 51%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score51 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Tranmere Rovers strength rating 1440 v Colchester United 1421
- Tranmere Rovers home record this season: 2W 3D 1L
- Colchester United away form: 0W 3D 4L, 6 scored / 13 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Tranmere Rovers -1 v Colchester United -6
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 51% (Elo 50%, goals 48%, recent form 59%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model50%
- Goals model48%
- Recent-form model59%
Component disagreement: 10.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:13. Read the methodology.