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Limavady United v Cliftonville

18+

NIFL Premiership · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Limavady United win
36%
Draw
26%
Cliftonville win
38%

FootyGrounds prediction

Cliftonville to win

Model probability 38%

Predicted scoreline

1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)

FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate

Why the model predicts this

  • Cliftonville strength rating 1632 v Limavady United 1599
  • Cliftonville away record this season: 2W 0D 2L
  • Limavady United home form: 1W 0D 3L, 4 scored / 7 conceded
  • Superior goal difference: Cliftonville +3 v Limavady United -4
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 33%, goals 41%, recent form 42%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Model agreement

Model components

  • Elo strength model33%
  • Goals model41%
  • Recent-form model42%

Component disagreement: 8.3 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.

How this prediction has changed

Previously 38% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 38%.

Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.