Raith Rovers v Livingston
18+Scottish Championship · Fri 25 Sept, 18:45
Data: excellent
- Raith Rovers win
- 52%
- Draw
- 23%
- Livingston win
- 25%
FootyGrounds prediction
Raith Rovers to win
Model probability 52%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score55 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Raith Rovers strength rating 1591 v Livingston 1570
- Raith Rovers home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
- Livingston away form: 1W 0D 2L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Raith Rovers +8 v Livingston +3
- Raith Rovers have won 4 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 50%, goals 52%, recent form 56%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model50%
- Goals model52%
- Recent-form model56%
Component disagreement: 5.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 52% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 52%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:04. Read the methodology.