Portsmouth v Blackburn Rovers
18+EFL Championship · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Portsmouth win
- 45%
- Draw
- 24%
- Blackburn Rovers win
- 31%
FootyGrounds prediction
Portsmouth to win
Model probability 45%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score49 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Portsmouth strength rating 1552 v Blackburn Rovers 1554
- Portsmouth home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
- Blackburn Rovers away form: 0W 2D 1L, 3 scored / 4 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 43%, recent form 47%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model43%
- Recent-form model47%
Component disagreement: 3.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 45% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 45%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:03. Read the methodology.