Austin FC v San Diego FC
18+Major League Soccer · Sun 27 Sept, 00:30
Data: good
- Austin FC win
- 43%
- Draw
- 23%
- San Diego FC win
- 34%
FootyGrounds prediction
Austin FC to win
Model probability 43%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score37 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Austin FC strength rating 1620 v San Diego FC 1620
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 46%, goals 38%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model38%
Component disagreement: 7.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 43% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 43%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:03. Read the methodology.