Cove Rangers v Ross County
18+Scottish League One · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Cove Rangers win
- 27%
- Draw
- 25%
- Ross County win
- 48%
FootyGrounds prediction
Ross County to win
Model probability 48%
Predicted scoreline
1–2 (range 0–1 to 2–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score34 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Ross County strength rating 1546 v Cove Rangers 1484
- Ross County away record this season: 2W 1D 0L
- Cove Rangers home form: 1W 2D 0L, 4 scored / 1 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Ross County +16 v Cove Rangers -4
- Ross County unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 37%, goals 61%, recent form 52%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 25 percentage points on this outcome. Cove Rangers have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model37%
- Goals model61%
- Recent-form model52%
Component disagreement: 24.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 48% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:06), now 48%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.