Bangor v Portadown
18+NIFL Premiership · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Bangor win
- 48%
- Draw
- 23%
- Portadown win
- 29%
FootyGrounds prediction
Bangor to win
Model probability 48%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score34 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Bangor strength rating 1571 v Portadown 1573
- Bangor home record this season: 0W 1D 2L
- Portadown away form: 0W 0D 3L, 3 scored / 7 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 46%, goals 41%, recent form 65%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 24 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model41%
- Recent-form model65%
Component disagreement: 23.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 48% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 48%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.