Annan Athletic v Stirling Albion
18+Scottish League Two · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Annan Athletic win
- 62%
- Draw
- 18%
- Stirling Albion win
- 21%
FootyGrounds prediction
Annan Athletic to win
Model probability 62%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score48 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Annan Athletic strength rating 1436 v Stirling Albion 1401
- Annan Athletic home record this season: 2W 0D 2L
- Stirling Albion away form: 0W 0D 4L, 5 scored / 17 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Annan Athletic 0 v Stirling Albion -12
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 62% (Elo 53%, goals 62%, recent form 81%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 28 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model53%
- Goals model62%
- Recent-form model81%
Component disagreement: 28.3 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 62% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 62%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.