Santa Clara v SC Braga
18+Primeira Liga · Sun 20 Sept, 17:00
Data: excellent
- Santa Clara win
- 50%
- Draw
- 23%
- SC Braga win
- 27%
FootyGrounds prediction
Santa Clara to win
Model probability 50%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score55 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Santa Clara strength rating 1649 v SC Braga 1631
- Santa Clara home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
- SC Braga away form: 1W 1D 1L, 5 scored / 5 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Santa Clara +7 v SC Braga +2
- Santa Clara unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 50%, goals 52%, recent form 49%)
Main uncertainty: SC Braga are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model50%
- Goals model52%
- Recent-form model49%
Component disagreement: 3.3 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 50% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:04), now 50%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.