Forfar Athletic v Annan Athletic
18+Scottish League Two · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Forfar Athletic win
- 41%
- Draw
- 25%
- Annan Athletic win
- 34%
FootyGrounds prediction
Forfar Athletic to win
Model probability 41%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score43 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Forfar Athletic strength rating 1420 v Annan Athletic 1436
- Forfar Athletic home record this season: 2W 0D 1L
- Annan Athletic away form: 1W 0D 2L, 2 scored / 3 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 43%, goals 37%, recent form 43%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model43%
- Goals model37%
- Recent-form model43%
Component disagreement: 6.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 41% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 41%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.