Udinese v Cagliari
18+Serie A · Sat 19 Sept, 13:00
Data: excellent
- Udinese win
- 37%
- Draw
- 23%
- Cagliari win
- 39%
FootyGrounds prediction
Cagliari to win
Model probability 39%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score24 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Cagliari strength rating 1632 v Udinese 1612
- Superior goal difference: Cagliari +2 v Udinese -2
- Cagliari have won 3 of their last 4
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 39% (Elo 32%, goals 37%, recent form 59%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 27 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model32%
- Goals model37%
- Recent-form model59%
Component disagreement: 27.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 39% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:04), now 39%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.