Sheffield Wednesday v Stockport County
18+EFL League One · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Sheffield Wednesday win
- 48%
- Draw
- 22%
- Stockport County win
- 30%
FootyGrounds prediction
Sheffield Wednesday to win
Model probability 48%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score47 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Sheffield Wednesday strength rating 1527 v Stockport County 1515
- Sheffield Wednesday home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
- Stockport County away form: 2W 0D 1L, 7 scored / 3 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Sheffield Wednesday +7 v Stockport County +6
- Sheffield Wednesday have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 48%, goals 51%, recent form 41%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model48%
- Goals model51%
- Recent-form model41%
Component disagreement: 9.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 48% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 48%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.