Airdrieonians v Montrose
18+Scottish League One · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Airdrieonians win
- 37%
- Draw
- 26%
- Montrose win
- 36%
FootyGrounds prediction
Airdrieonians to win
Model probability 37%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Airdrieonians strength rating 1479 v Montrose 1504
- Airdrieonians home record this season: 1W 2D 1L
- Montrose away form: 1W 0D 2L, 4 scored / 5 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 41%, goals 35%, recent form 33%)
Main uncertainty: Montrose are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model41%
- Goals model35%
- Recent-form model33%
Component disagreement: 7.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 37% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:06), now 37%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.