Barrow v Scunthorpe United
18+National League · Tue 29 Sept, 18:45
Data: good
- Barrow win
- 45%
- Draw
- 24%
- Scunthorpe United win
- 31%
FootyGrounds prediction
Barrow to win
Model probability 45%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score44 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Barrow strength rating 1364 v Scunthorpe United 1371
- Barrow home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
- Scunthorpe United away form: 1W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 8 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 45%, goals 46%, recent form 46%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model45%
- Goals model46%
- Recent-form model46%
Component disagreement: 1.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 45% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 45%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.