Holywell Town v Briton Ferry Llansawel
18+Cymru Premier · Sat 26 Sept, 13:30
Data: good
- Holywell Town win
- 37%
- Draw
- 26%
- Briton Ferry Llansawel win
- 37%
FootyGrounds prediction
Holywell Town to win
Model probability 37%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score37 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Holywell Town strength rating 1540 v Briton Ferry Llansawel 1580
- Holywell Town home record this season: 0W 1D 4L
- Briton Ferry Llansawel away form: 1W 1D 4L, 5 scored / 11 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 38%, goals 37%, recent form 34%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model38%
- Goals model37%
- Recent-form model34%
Component disagreement: 3.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 37% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 37%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.