Dunfermline Athletic v Partick Thistle
18+Scottish Championship · Fri 25 Sept, 18:45
Data: excellent
- Dunfermline Athletic win
- 40%
- Draw
- 29%
- Partick Thistle win
- 31%
FootyGrounds prediction
Dunfermline Athletic to win
Model probability 40%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score37 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Dunfermline Athletic strength rating 1565 v Partick Thistle 1575
- Dunfermline Athletic home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
- Partick Thistle away form: 1W 1D 1L, 2 scored / 2 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 44%, goals 33%, recent form 45%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. Partick Thistle are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. Partick Thistle have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model44%
- Goals model33%
- Recent-form model45%
Component disagreement: 12.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 40% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 40%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:04. Read the methodology.