Sheffield Wednesday v Cambridge United
18+EFL League One · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Sheffield Wednesday win
- 50%
- Draw
- 23%
- Cambridge United win
- 28%
FootyGrounds prediction
Sheffield Wednesday to win
Model probability 50%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score44 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Sheffield Wednesday strength rating 1527 v Cambridge United 1511
- Sheffield Wednesday home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
- Cambridge United away form: 1W 2D 0L, 5 scored / 4 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Sheffield Wednesday +7 v Cambridge United +2
- Sheffield Wednesday have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 49%, goals 55%, recent form 41%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. Cambridge United are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model49%
- Goals model55%
- Recent-form model41%
Component disagreement: 14.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 50% (calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05), now 50%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 14:20:05. Read the methodology.