Kilmarnock v Aberdeen
18+Scottish Premiership · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00
Data: excellent
- Kilmarnock win
- 37%
- Draw
- 27%
- Aberdeen win
- 36%
FootyGrounds prediction
Kilmarnock to win
Model probability 37%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score36 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Kilmarnock strength rating 1567 v Aberdeen 1607
- Kilmarnock home record this season: 1W 1D 3L
- Aberdeen away form: 1W 1D 3L, 7 scored / 9 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 38%, goals 32%, recent form 43%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model38%
- Goals model32%
- Recent-form model43%
Component disagreement: 10.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.