Kidderminster Harriers v Yeovil Town
18+National League · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00
Data: good
- Kidderminster Harriers win
- 52%
- Draw
- 21%
- Yeovil Town win
- 27%
FootyGrounds prediction
Kidderminster Harriers to win
Model probability 52%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score50 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Kidderminster Harriers strength rating 1408 v Yeovil Town 1382
- Kidderminster Harriers home record this season: 2W 2D 0L
- Yeovil Town away form: 1W 2D 1L, 6 scored / 6 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Kidderminster Harriers +5 v Yeovil Town +1
- Kidderminster Harriers unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 51%, goals 53%, recent form 51%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model51%
- Goals model53%
- Recent-form model51%
Component disagreement: 1.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 52% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 52%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.