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Wigan Athletic v Wycombe Wanderers

18+

EFL League One · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00

Data: excellent
Wigan Athletic win
41%
Draw
25%
Wycombe Wanderers win
34%

FootyGrounds prediction

Wigan Athletic to win

Model probability 41%

Predicted scoreline

2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate

Why the model predicts this

  • Wigan Athletic strength rating 1472 v Wycombe Wanderers 1489
  • Wigan Athletic home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
  • Wycombe Wanderers away form: 1W 1D 1L, 5 scored / 8 conceded
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 43%, goals 42%, recent form 35%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Model agreement

Model components

  • Elo strength model43%
  • Goals model42%
  • Recent-form model35%

Component disagreement: 7.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.

How this prediction has changed

Previously 41% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 41%.

Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.