Brest v Olympique Lyonnais
18+Ligue 1 · Sun 8 Nov, 16:15
Data: good
- Brest win
- 40%
- Draw
- 26%
- Olympique Lyonnais win
- 34%
FootyGrounds prediction
Brest to win
Model probability 40%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score37 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Brest strength rating 1619 v Olympique Lyonnais 1641
- Brest home record this season: 1W 1D 2L
- Olympique Lyonnais away form: 1W 1D 2L, 3 scored / 4 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 42%, goals 39%, recent form 36%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model42%
- Goals model39%
- Recent-form model36%
Component disagreement: 5.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 40% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 40%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.