Real Salt Lake v New England Revolution
18+Major League Soccer · Sun 27 Sept, 01:30
Data: good
- Real Salt Lake win
- 42%
- Draw
- 24%
- New England Revolution win
- 34%
FootyGrounds prediction
Real Salt Lake to win
Model probability 42%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score36 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Real Salt Lake strength rating 1620 v New England Revolution 1620
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 46%, goals 37%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model37%
Component disagreement: 8.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 42% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 42%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:03. Read the methodology.