Peterhead v Airdrieonians
18+Scottish League One · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Peterhead win
- 46%
- Draw
- 25%
- Airdrieonians win
- 29%
FootyGrounds prediction
Peterhead to win
Model probability 46%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score40 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Peterhead strength rating 1472 v Airdrieonians 1479
- Peterhead home record this season: 1W 0D 2L
- Airdrieonians away form: 0W 1D 2L, 1 scored / 6 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 45%, goals 41%, recent form 57%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 16 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model45%
- Goals model41%
- Recent-form model57%
Component disagreement: 15.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 46% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:06), now 46%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.