Levante v Athletic Club
18+La Liga · Wed 16 Sept, 19:30
Data: excellent
- Levante win
- 41%
- Draw
- 25%
- Athletic Club win
- 33%
FootyGrounds prediction
Levante to win
Model probability 41%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score39 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Levante strength rating 1611 v Athletic Club 1624
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 44%, goals 40%, recent form 37%)
Main uncertainty: Athletic Club are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model44%
- Goals model40%
- Recent-form model37%
Component disagreement: 6.4 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 41% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 41%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.