Flint Town United v Ammanford
18+Cymru Premier · Sat 26 Sept, 13:30
Data: good
- Flint Town United win
- 49%
- Draw
- 23%
- Ammanford win
- 28%
FootyGrounds prediction
Flint Town United to win
Model probability 49%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score50 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Flint Town United strength rating 1573 v Ammanford 1558
- Flint Town United home record this season: 0W 1D 3L
- Ammanford away form: 0W 2D 3L, 4 scored / 9 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Flint Town United -13 v Ammanford -17
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 49% (Elo 49%, goals 50%, recent form 47%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model49%
- Goals model50%
- Recent-form model47%
Component disagreement: 3.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 49% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 49%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.