Woking v Kidderminster Harriers
18+National League · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00
Data: good
- Woking win
- 36%
- Draw
- 27%
- Kidderminster Harriers win
- 37%
FootyGrounds prediction
Kidderminster Harriers to win
Model probability 37%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score31 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Kidderminster Harriers strength rating 1408 v Woking 1367
- Kidderminster Harriers away record this season: 2W 0D 1L
- Woking home form: 2W 1D 1L, 9 scored / 7 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Kidderminster Harriers +5 v Woking -2
- Kidderminster Harriers unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 37% (Elo 34%, goals 40%, recent form 40%)
Main uncertainty: Woking are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model34%
- Goals model40%
- Recent-form model40%
Component disagreement: 6.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 37% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 37%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.