The New Saints v Llandudno
18+Cymru Premier · Sat 19 Sept, 16:30
Data: good
- The New Saints win
- 62%
- Draw
- 17%
- Llandudno win
- 20%
FootyGrounds prediction
The New Saints to win
Model probability 62%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score56 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- The New Saints strength rating 1693 v Llandudno 1636
- The New Saints home record this season: 5W 0D 0L
- Llandudno away form: 1W 0D 3L, 6 scored / 8 conceded
- Superior goal difference: The New Saints +21 v Llandudno +5
- The New Saints unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 62% (Elo 56%, goals 67%, recent form 68%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 11 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model56%
- Goals model67%
- Recent-form model68%
Component disagreement: 11.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 62% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 62%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.