Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley
18+EFL League One · Sat 26 Sept, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Milton Keynes Dons win
- 52%
- Draw
- 22%
- Bromley win
- 26%
FootyGrounds prediction
Milton Keynes Dons to win
Model probability 52%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Milton Keynes Dons strength rating 1491 v Bromley 1464
- Milton Keynes Dons home record this season: 0W 3D 0L
- Bromley away form: 1W 1D 1L, 5 scored / 9 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Milton Keynes Dons -2 v Bromley -11
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 51%, goals 61%, recent form 39%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 21 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model51%
- Goals model61%
- Recent-form model39%
Component disagreement: 21.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 52% (calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05), now 52%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 14:20:05. Read the methodology.