Scunthorpe United v Boreham Wood
18+National League · Wed 16 Sept, 18:45
Data: good
- Scunthorpe United win
- 33%
- Draw
- 25%
- Boreham Wood win
- 42%
FootyGrounds prediction
Boreham Wood to win
Model probability 42%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score26 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Boreham Wood strength rating 1421 v Scunthorpe United 1371
- Boreham Wood away record this season: 3W 1D 0L
- Scunthorpe United home form: 1W 1D 1L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Boreham Wood +8 v Scunthorpe United -2
- Boreham Wood unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 42% (Elo 35%, goals 45%, recent form 52%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model35%
- Goals model45%
- Recent-form model52%
Component disagreement: 17.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 42% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 42%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.