Stade Rennais v Lille OSC
18+Ligue 1 · Sun 8 Nov, 14:00
Data: good
- Stade Rennais win
- 41%
- Draw
- 25%
- Lille OSC win
- 34%
FootyGrounds prediction
Stade Rennais to win
Model probability 41%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score39 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Stade Rennais strength rating 1628 v Lille OSC 1649
- Stade Rennais home record this season: 4W 1D 0L
- Lille OSC away form: 2W 1D 1L, 5 scored / 3 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 41% (Elo 42%, goals 37%, recent form 43%)
Main uncertainty: Lille OSC are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. Lille OSC have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model42%
- Goals model37%
- Recent-form model43%
Component disagreement: 5.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 41% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:03), now 41%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.