Deportivo de A Coruña v Real Betis
18+La Liga · Sun 20 Sept, 16:30
Data: excellent
- Deportivo de A Coruña win
- 45%
- Draw
- 25%
- Real Betis win
- 30%
FootyGrounds prediction
Deportivo de A Coruña to win
Model probability 45%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score40 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Deportivo de A Coruña strength rating 1635 v Real Betis 1633
- Real Betis away form: 2W 0D 1L, 5 scored / 6 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Deportivo de A Coruña +3 v Real Betis +1
- Deportivo de A Coruña unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 49%, recent form 35%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. Real Betis are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model49%
- Recent-form model35%
Component disagreement: 13.8 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 45% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 45%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.