Nashville SC v Chicago Fire FC
18+Major League Soccer · Sun 20 Sept, 01:30
Data: good
- Nashville SC win
- 52%
- Draw
- 22%
- Chicago Fire FC win
- 25%
FootyGrounds prediction
Nashville SC to win
Model probability 52%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Nashville SC strength rating 1620 v Chicago Fire FC 1620
- Superior goal difference: Nashville SC +29 v Chicago Fire FC +10
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 46%, goals 60%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 14 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model60%
Component disagreement: 14.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 52% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 52%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:03. Read the methodology.