FC Halifax Town v Sutton United
18+National League · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00
Data: good
- FC Halifax Town win
- 48%
- Draw
- 24%
- Sutton United win
- 29%
FootyGrounds prediction
FC Halifax Town to win
Model probability 48%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score45 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- FC Halifax Town strength rating 1388 v Sutton United 1380
- FC Halifax Town home record this season: 3W 0D 1L
- Sutton United away form: 2W 0D 1L, 4 scored / 3 conceded
- Superior goal difference: FC Halifax Town +3 v Sutton United 0
- FC Halifax Town have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 48% (Elo 48%, goals 48%, recent form 46%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model48%
- Goals model48%
- Recent-form model46%
Component disagreement: 2.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 48% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 48%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.