Airbus UK v Flint Town United
18+Cymru Premier · Fri 18 Sept, 18:45
Data: good
- Airbus UK win
- 60%
- Draw
- 18%
- Flint Town United win
- 22%
FootyGrounds prediction
Airbus UK to win
Model probability 60%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score43 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Airbus UK strength rating 1613 v Flint Town United 1573
- Airbus UK home record this season: 2W 0D 2L
- Flint Town United away form: 0W 1D 4L, 3 scored / 13 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Airbus UK -1 v Flint Town United -13
- Flint Town United played just 3 days ago
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 60% (Elo 54%, goals 62%, recent form 71%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 18 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model54%
- Goals model62%
- Recent-form model71%
Component disagreement: 17.6 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 60% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 60%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.