Burton Albion v Huddersfield Town
18+EFL League One · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Burton Albion win
- 38%
- Draw
- 26%
- Huddersfield Town win
- 36%
FootyGrounds prediction
Burton Albion to win
Model probability 38%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score39 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Burton Albion strength rating 1502 v Huddersfield Town 1525
- Burton Albion home record this season: 1W 2D 0L
- Huddersfield Town away form: 1W 2D 0L, 3 scored / 2 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 38% (Elo 42%, goals 35%, recent form 35%)
Main uncertainty: Huddersfield Town are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. Huddersfield Town have conceded under a goal a game in this venue type. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model42%
- Goals model35%
- Recent-form model35%
Component disagreement: 6.9 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 38% (calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05), now 38%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 14:20:05. Read the methodology.