Celta Vigo v Racing de Santander
18+La Liga · Sat 19 Sept, 16:30
Data: excellent
- Celta Vigo win
- 40%
- Draw
- 26%
- Racing de Santander win
- 34%
FootyGrounds prediction
Celta Vigo to win
Model probability 40%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score43 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Celta Vigo strength rating 1602 v Racing de Santander 1620
- Celta Vigo home record this season: 0W 1D 2L
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 40% (Elo 43%, goals 38%, recent form 37%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model43%
- Goals model38%
- Recent-form model37%
Component disagreement: 5.3 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 40% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 40%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.