Elgin City v Clyde
18+Scottish League Two · Sat 3 Oct, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Elgin City win
- 45%
- Draw
- 24%
- Clyde win
- 32%
FootyGrounds prediction
Elgin City to win
Model probability 45%
Predicted scoreline
2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score45 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Elgin City strength rating 1462 v Clyde 1474
- Elgin City home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
- Clyde away form: 1W 1D 1L, 5 scored / 5 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 44%, goals 48%, recent form 40%)
Main uncertainty: Clyde are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model44%
- Goals model48%
- Recent-form model40%
Component disagreement: 8.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 45% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 45%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.