Houston Dynamo FC v FC Cincinnati
18+Major League Soccer · Sun 20 Sept, 00:30
Data: good
- Houston Dynamo FC win
- 50%
- Draw
- 22%
- FC Cincinnati win
- 28%
FootyGrounds prediction
Houston Dynamo FC to win
Model probability 50%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score43 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Houston Dynamo FC strength rating 1620 v FC Cincinnati 1620
- Superior goal difference: Houston Dynamo FC +4 v FC Cincinnati -7
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 46%, goals 55%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model55%
Component disagreement: 8.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 50% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 50%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:03. Read the methodology.