Fleetwood Town v Tranmere Rovers
18+EFL League Two · Sat 14 Nov, 17:30
Data: excellent
- Fleetwood Town win
- 43%
- Draw
- 26%
- Tranmere Rovers win
- 31%
FootyGrounds prediction
Fleetwood Town to win
Model probability 43%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score50 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Fleetwood Town strength rating 1429 v Tranmere Rovers 1440
- Fleetwood Town home record this season: 2W 3D 1L
- Tranmere Rovers away form: 1W 4D 2L, 7 scored / 10 conceded
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 43% (Elo 44%, goals 42%, recent form 45%)
Main uncertainty: Tranmere Rovers are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model44%
- Goals model42%
- Recent-form model45%
Component disagreement: 3.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 43% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:06), now 43%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:13. Read the methodology.