Queens Park Rangers v Preston North End
18+EFL Championship · Sat 19 Sept, 14:00
Data: excellent
- Queens Park Rangers win
- 60%
- Draw
- 19%
- Preston North End win
- 21%
FootyGrounds prediction
Queens Park Rangers to win
Model probability 60%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score52 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Queens Park Rangers strength rating 1576 v Preston North End 1523
- Queens Park Rangers home record this season: 1W 1D 1L
- Preston North End away form: 0W 0D 3L, 2 scored / 5 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Queens Park Rangers +3 v Preston North End -7
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 60% (Elo 56%, goals 58%, recent form 73%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 17 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model56%
- Goals model58%
- Recent-form model73%
Component disagreement: 17.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 60% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 60%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:03. Read the methodology.