Coleraine v Limavady United
18+NIFL Premiership · Sat 19 Sept, 17:00
Data: excellent
- Coleraine win
- 63%
- Draw
- 17%
- Limavady United win
- 19%
FootyGrounds prediction
Coleraine to win
Model probability 63%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score60 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Coleraine strength rating 1675 v Limavady United 1599
- Coleraine home record this season: 2W 1D 0L
- Superior goal difference: Coleraine +12 v Limavady United -4
- Coleraine unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 63% (Elo 60%, goals 71%, recent form 59%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 12 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model60%
- Goals model71%
- Recent-form model59%
Component disagreement: 11.7 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 63% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:03), now 63%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.