Estrela v Académico de Viseu
18+Primeira Liga · Sun 20 Sept, 14:30
Data: excellent
- Estrela win
- 50%
- Draw
- 22%
- Académico de Viseu win
- 28%
FootyGrounds prediction
Estrela to win
Model probability 50%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score49 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Estrela strength rating 1632 v Académico de Viseu 1612
- Estrela home record this season: 1W 2D 0L
- Académico de Viseu away form: 1W 2D 0L, 5 scored / 4 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Estrela +2 v Académico de Viseu -2
- Estrela unbeaten in their last 5 matches
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 50% (Elo 50%, goals 54%, recent form 44%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 10 percentage points on this outcome. Académico de Viseu are unbeaten in their last 3 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model50%
- Goals model54%
- Recent-form model44%
Component disagreement: 10.2 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 50% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:04), now 50%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:02. Read the methodology.