Woking v Solihull Moors
18+National League · Tue 29 Sept, 18:45
Data: good
- Woking win
- 57%
- Draw
- 19%
- Solihull Moors win
- 23%
FootyGrounds prediction
Woking to win
Model probability 57%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score46 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Woking strength rating 1367 v Solihull Moors 1331
- Woking home record this season: 2W 1D 1L
- Solihull Moors away form: 0W 1D 2L, 4 scored / 9 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Woking -2 v Solihull Moors -11
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 57% (Elo 53%, goals 58%, recent form 66%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model53%
- Goals model58%
- Recent-form model66%
Component disagreement: 13.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 57% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:07), now 57%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:05. Read the methodology.