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Charlotte FC v Chicago Fire FC

18+

Major League Soccer · Sat 26 Sept, 23:30

Data: good
Charlotte FC win
46%
Draw
23%
Chicago Fire FC win
31%

FootyGrounds prediction

Charlotte FC to win

Model probability 46%

Predicted scoreline

2–2 (range 1–1 to 3–3)

FootyGrounds confidence score47 / 100 · Low–Moderate

Why the model predicts this

  • Charlotte FC strength rating 1620 v Chicago Fire FC 1620
  • Opponent-adjusted model probability: 46% (Elo 46%, goals 46%)

Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.

Model agreement

Model components

  • Elo strength model46%
  • Goals model46%

Component disagreement: 0.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.

How this prediction has changed

Previously 46% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 46%.

Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:03. Read the methodology.