Wolverhampton Wanderers v West Bromwich Albion
18+EFL Championship · Sun 20 Sept, 11:00
Data: excellent
- Wolverhampton Wanderers win
- 45%
- Draw
- 24%
- West Bromwich Albion win
- 31%
FootyGrounds prediction
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win
Model probability 45%
Predicted scoreline
2–1 (range 1–0 to 3–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score46 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Wolverhampton Wanderers strength rating 1578 v West Bromwich Albion 1578
- West Bromwich Albion away form: 2W 0D 1L, 4 scored / 4 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Wolverhampton Wanderers +4 v West Bromwich Albion +3
- Wolverhampton Wanderers have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 46%, goals 47%, recent form 40%)
Main uncertainty: West Bromwich Albion are unbeaten in their last 4 matches. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model47%
- Recent-form model40%
Component disagreement: 7.0 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 45% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 45%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:03. Read the methodology.