Celtic v Kilmarnock
18+Scottish Premiership · Sun 8 Nov, 16:00
Data: excellent
- Celtic win
- 71%
- Draw
- 14%
- Kilmarnock win
- 16%
FootyGrounds prediction
Celtic to win
Model probability 71%
Predicted scoreline
3–1 (range 2–0 to 4–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score59 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Celtic strength rating 1689 v Kilmarnock 1567
- Celtic home record this season: 4W 1D 1L
- Kilmarnock away form: 1W 1D 4L, 6 scored / 13 conceded
- Superior goal difference: Celtic +19 v Kilmarnock -14
- Celtic have won 3 of their last 5
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 71% (Elo 66%, goals 83%, recent form 60%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 23 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model66%
- Goals model83%
- Recent-form model60%
Component disagreement: 23.1 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 71% (calculated 31/10/2026, 14:20:02), now 71%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 31/10/2026, 16:20:09. Read the methodology.