San Jose Earthquakes v Los Angeles FC
18+Major League Soccer · Sat 19 Sept, 23:30
Data: good
- San Jose Earthquakes win
- 45%
- Draw
- 24%
- Los Angeles FC win
- 32%
FootyGrounds prediction
San Jose Earthquakes to win
Model probability 45%
Predicted scoreline
1–1 (range 0–0 to 2–2)
FootyGrounds confidence score38 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- San Jose Earthquakes strength rating 1620 v Los Angeles FC 1608
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 45% (Elo 48%, goals 40%)
Main uncertainty: No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model48%
- Goals model40%
Component disagreement: 8.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 45% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 45%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:03. Read the methodology.