Inter Miami CF v San Diego FC
18+Major League Soccer · Sun 20 Sept, 23:00
Data: good
- Inter Miami CF win
- 52%
- Draw
- 21%
- San Diego FC win
- 27%
FootyGrounds prediction
Inter Miami CF to win
Model probability 52%
Predicted scoreline
3–2 (range 2–1 to 4–3)
FootyGrounds confidence score41 / 100 · Low–Moderate
Why the model predicts this
- Inter Miami CF strength rating 1620 v San Diego FC 1620
- Superior goal difference: Inter Miami CF +15 v San Diego FC 0
- Opponent-adjusted model probability: 52% (Elo 46%, goals 59%)
Main uncertainty: Model components disagree by 13 percentage points on this outcome. No verified injury or suspension data is available for this division.
Model agreement
Model components
- Elo strength model46%
- Goals model59%
Component disagreement: 12.5 percentage points. Wider disagreement between the strength, goals and form models lowers the confidence score.
How this prediction has changed
Previously 52% (calculated 16/09/2026, 10:20:05), now 52%.
Model version fg-match-predictor-1.0.0 · last calculated 16/09/2026, 12:20:03. Read the methodology.